## Main links, portals, etc.: ## * Wikipedia articles [on the outbreak](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_outbreak), [on the virus](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndrome_coronavirus_2) and [on the disease it causes](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavirus_disease_2019). * [Daily situation reports](https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports/) and [general updates](https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019) by the WHO. * [Covid-19 global cases situation dashboard by John Hopkins](https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6) (and [mobile version](https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/85320e2ea5424dfaaa75ae62e5c06e61)), updated daily ([historical data](https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19)). * [Covid-19 coronavirus section on Worldometer](https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/). * [Covid-19 page by Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus). * Epidemic data by Wolfram Data [for the world](https://www.wolframcloud.com/obj/examples/COVID19World) and [for China](https://www.wolframcloud.com/obj/examples/COVID19China). * [Temporal variation in transmission during Covid-19 outbreak](https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/current-patterns-transmission/global-time-varying-transmission.html) by the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, updated occasionally with estimates on effective reproduction number in various countries. * [Phylogenetic tree of 2019-nCoV strains](https://nextstrain.org/ncov) on Nextstrain ([data source](https://github.com/nextstrain/ncov)). * [Virus pathogen data portal on 2019-nCoV](https://www.viprbrc.org/brc/home.spg?decorator=corona_ncov). * [CSV and JSON files with case counts per country, compiled daily](https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/coronavirus-covid19-evolution-par-pays-et-dans-le-monde-maj-quotidienne/) \[metadata in French\]. * [MedCram series of medical lectures](https://www.youtube.com/user/MEDCRAMvideos/videos) with frequent updates on the epidemic. ## Country-specific links ## * France * * [Covid-19 France cases situation](https://metabase.cedricguadalupe.com/public/dashboard/e771e5ed-45a0-40cd-b9c6-026c86a67117) ## Topical or time-specific links: ## * [Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions to reduce Covid-19 mortality and healthcare demand](https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf) (2020-03-16) by the Imperial College Covid-19 Response Team. * [Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV2)](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221), published in *Science* (2020-03-16). * [Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033357v1) (2020-03-13 preprint) puts the overall IFR at 0.7% and gives a breakdown per age group. * [How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the Covid-19 epidemic?](https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736%2820%2930567-5/fulltext) (2020-03-09), a comment in The Lancet with a general discussion of the state of the epidemic and possible strategies. * American Hospital Association's “Best Guess Epidemiology” has been [reported on Twitter](https://twitter.com/sethbannon/status/1236125593290276864) on 2020-03-07, estimating a disease burden of ~10× severe flu season (attack rate ~30–40%, of which 5% requiring hospitalization, 1–2% requiring ICU, 0.5% fatal). * [How to contain an epidemic](https://www.franceculture.fr/emissions/la-methode-scientifique/la-methode-scientifique-emission-du-vendredi-06-mars-2020), radio broadcast on 2020-03-06 \[in French\] with infectiologist Anne-Claude Crémieux and epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet. * [Etimation of infection and case fatality ratios for Covid-19 using data from Diamond Princess](https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/severity/diamond_cruise_cfr_estimates.html) by the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, online 2020-03-05. * [Persistence of coronaviruses on inanimate surfaces and their inactivation with biocidal agents](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0195670120300463), published 2020-03 (not specific to SARS-CoV-2). * [Twitter thread by Nicholas A. Christakis](https://twitter.com/NAChristakis/status/1235204443362205699) (on 2020-03-04) on the benefits of closing schools, based on a study of the effects of the 1918 flu pandemic; key message: closing early is important. * [A paper on the origin and continuing evolution of SARS-CoV-2](https://academic.oup.com/nsr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/nsr/nwaa036/5775463) published on 2020-03-03 in the National Science Review, discussing the coexistence of two types of strains, which they call ‘L’ (more virulent) and ‘S’ (less virulent), the ‘L’ being more prevalent but the ‘S’ becoming seemingly progressively more frequent because human actions put more pressure against the more virulent strains. ⚔ [Beware](https://twitter.com/SciTania/status/1235283259510214656) that the difference in virulence is inferred from propagation rates rather than observed on clinical data, and the selective pressure explanation is debatable. * [Report on monitoring of persons exposed to patients with Covid-19](https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6909e1.htm) published 2020-03-03 in CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report: key finding places symptomatic secondary attack rate at 0.45% among close contacts and 10.5% among household members. ⚔ Here a [critical look](https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1235124770896826369) at these figures by epidemiologist Adam Kucharski. * [SARS-Cov-2 and the lessons we have to learn from it](https://medium.com/@edwardnirenberg/sars-cov-2-and-the-lessons-we-have-to-learn-from-it-e2017fd5d3c), a well-written general summary by Edward Nirenberg (2020-03-02). Emphasis: “The real issue is what having this pandemic does to healthcare systems globally.” * [A discussion in *Science* Magazine](https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/china-s-aggressive-measures-have-slowed-coronavirus-they-may-not-work-other-countries) (2020-03-02; [Twitter thread](https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1234603592407044096)) on [the WHO report](https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf) (released 2020-02-28) on the joint WHO-Chinese mission led by Bruce Aylard to study the state of the epidemic in China; key message: the measures taken by Chinese authorities to contain the epidemic worked, but unclear what will happen in the long run or whether they can be applied in other countries. * [A fairly detailed FAQ video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oA8XYSftmtQ) \[[index of questions at 1′10″](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oA8XYSftmtQ#t=1m10s)\] uploaded on 2020-03-03 by [Inés Dawson](https://twitter.com/InesLauraDawson). *\[TODO: write some kind of summary here.\]* * [Simulation of the effect of extra hand-washing](https://twitter.com/FryRsquared/status/1234491912775782400) on the spread of an epidemic (a simulation performed in 2018, retweeted on 2020-03-02); key message: it really has an impact, not just on the speed of progression but also on the final attack rate. * Two hour-long live interviews \[in French\] by Brut: [Arnaud Fontanet (epidemiologist at the Institut Pasteur)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vs2oyLSlo0Q) on 2020-02-26, and [Éric Caumes (head of the department of infectious diseases at the Pitié hospital in Paris)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5thFsjoHok) on 2020-02-28. *\[I didn't have time to watch.\]* * [Twitter Q&A thread](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233509962292375559) by virologist [Ian M. Mackay](https://virologydownunder.com/) on 2020-02-28; discusses, inter alia, reinfection ([here](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233512522168356864), [here](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233512323358363654) and [here](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233511497017561090); seems to think false recovery is more likely than reinfection), [attack rate](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233511899083530240) (thinks 70% is probably overestimated), [virus lifetime](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233522944137187329), [fatality rate in Italy](https://twitter.com/MackayIM/status/1233521001578803200) (probably seems high because of observation bias) and more. * [A discussion of seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 by epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch](https://docs.google.com/document/d/17mWPx-HTE1F2RKkbJlt4VkSYaznUiJgt21nuvmu51Kc) \[date≤2020-02-26\]; summary: despite seasonality of related viruses, it probably won't go away on its own in the summer. * [A primer for the general public on virus mutation](https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/mutation-adaptation-and-virus-genomes-a-primer-for-the-public/) \[date≤2020-02-26\]; main message is that we don't know much about mutations of this particular virus, but mutations aren't particularly scary in and of themselves. * [Interview of Éric Caumes (head of the department of infectious diseases at the Pitié hospital in Paris)](https://www.jim.fr/e-docs/covid_19_la_riposte_est_elle_plus_redoutable_que_le_virus__181852/document_jim_tube.phtml) on 2020-02-25 \[in French\], discussing various issues (contagiousness, attack rate, fatality rate, mutation rate, etc.); main message seems to be that we are overreacting. * [Thread by epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1231425805898657795.html) on 2020-02-23 ([Twitter link](https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1231425805898657795)), discussing the possibility and effectiveness of (temporary vs long-term) countermeasures (case-based containment vs lockdowns, etc.); expresses skepticism as to effectiveness of Chinese lockdowns (and reliability of reported figures). * [What we have learnt as of 2020-02-20, MOOC by epidemiologist Arnaud Fontanet for the Institut Pasteur](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l_NxT9XJHk); summarizes main information as of this date. *\[TODO: write better summary here.\]* * [Thread by epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch](https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1228373884027592704.html) on 2020-02-14 ([Twitter link](https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1228373884027592704)), discussing attack rate (=cumulated infection rate) r and the estimation that 40%≲r≲70% “in a situation without effective controls” based on comparison with similar epidemics. * [Epidemiological characteristics report published in *China CDC Weekly*](http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/fileCCDCW/journal/article/ccdcw/newcreate/COVID-19.pdf) \[[mirror](https://github.com/cmrivers/ncov/blob/master/COVID-19.pdf)\] detailing breakdown of cases and statistics up to 2020-02-11 (72 314 cases). ## More stuff ## * [Links to Covid-19 related articles](https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/feo68j/humanity_wins_our_fight_to_unlock_32544_covid19/fjpbaph/) unlocked after pressure on publishers. ## Not Covid-19 specific but still relevant ## * Definition of [morbidity frequency measures](https://www.cdc.gov/csels/dsepd/ss1978/lesson3/section2.html) and [mortality frequency measures](https://www.cdc.gov/csels/dsepd/ss1978/lesson3/section3.html) from (online version of) the CDC's book *Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice*: explains definitions of “attack rate”, “secondary attack rate”, “case-fatality rate”, etc. * Wikipedia page about [compartmental models in epidemiology](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology) such as the SIR model.