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authorDavid A. Madore <david+git@madore.org>2020-05-18 12:32:18 +0200
committerDavid A. Madore <david+git@madore.org>2020-05-18 12:32:18 +0200
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Two more papers on Covid-19 spreading.
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(2020-05-05 preprint), a detailed model of the post-lockdown phase
in France.
+* [What settings have been linked to SARS-CoV-2 transmission
+ clusters?](https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-83)
+ (2020-05-01, open peer review) identifies possible places linked to
+ clusters of Covid-19 cases. Key finding: many examples of
+ SARS-CoV-2 clusters linked to a wide range of mostly indoor
+ settings: few reports came from schools, many from households, and
+ an increasing number were reported in hospitals and elderly care
+ settings across Europe.
+
* [Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19
outbreak in
China](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/28/science.abb8001)
@@ -168,6 +177,18 @@
state of current
knowledge](https://www.vidal.fr/actualites/24770/persistance_et_efficacite_des_anticorps_neutralisants_contre_le_sars_cov_2_etat_des_connaissances_et_lecons_des_autres_coronavirus_humains/) (2020-04-20 \[in French\]).
+* [Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using
+ outbreak sizes outside
+ China](https://wellcomeopenresearch.org/articles/5-67) (2020-04-09,
+ open peer review) attempts to estimate variance in COVID-19
+ transmission rates by modeling secondary transmission rates as a
+ negative-binomial distribution with mean R₀ in the 2–3 consensus
+ range and estimating the overdispersion parameter. Key finding: the
+ overdispersion parameter k of a negative-binomial distribution was
+ estimated to be around 0.1, suggesting that 80% of secondary
+ transmissions may have been caused by a small fraction of infectious
+ individuals (~10%).
+
* [Indoor transmission of
SARS-CoV-2](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.04.20053058v1)
(2020-04-07 preprint) confirms that sharing indoor place is the